What do the figures really say about new businesses, apps and startups?
Less than the headlines claim, and more usefully. Official tables count how many new businesses are still trading, not how many startups fail: the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has 77.9% of new employer establishments lasting one year and 51.4% lasting five, and the UK Office for National Statistics has 93.4% of new registered businesses lasting one year and 38.4% lasting five. No statistical office records why a business closed. That comes only from surveys and counts of founders' own accounts, which disagree with each other. The pages below take each set of figures from the table or report it was read on.
The rules this shelf keeps
- No number without a link. Every figure sits in a sentence with a link to the table, release or report it was read on, and that source is listed again at the foot of the page with the day it was read.
- Primary sources only. The statistical office, the regulator, or the company reporting on itself. Never an article about a report.
- A survey is called a survey. Every time, with who ran it, how many people answered and when. A survey is never set beside an official table as if they were the same kind of thing.
- Where sources disagree, the page says so. And says why: different countries, different definitions, different years.
- No source, no claim. A figure that could not be traced to a primary source was left out, however often it is repeated elsewhere.
Five figures, and who counted each
| What was counted | The figure | Who counted it |
|---|---|---|
| New US employer establishments still open after five years | 51.4% of those opened in the year to March 2020 | The Bureau of Labor Statistics, an official table. Business survival rates has the rest. |
| New UK registered businesses surviving five years | 38.4% of those born in 2019 | The Office for National Statistics, an official release. Same page. |
| App submissions Apple rejected in 2025 | 2,093,244 of 9,100,620 reviewed | Apple's own transparency report, a company counting itself. App store numbers has the rest. |
| New repositories on GitHub in the year to 31 August 2025 | 121 million | GitHub's Octoverse report, a company counting itself. Building with AI, in numbers has the rest. |
| Venture backed shutdowns that ran out of capital | 70% of the 385 whose reasons could be identified | CB Insights, a count of public accounts, not official data. Why startups fail has the rest. |
The five cannot be set against each other. Two are official tables for two countries, two are companies reporting on their own platforms, and one is a count of what founders wrote after closing. Each page says what its figure does and does not count.
How to read a startup statistic
Four questions take most of the air out of a frightening number.
- Who counted? A statistical office counting registrations, or a company counting the essays it could find.
- What was counted? A business, an establishment, a venture backed startup and an app are four different things. The official tables count the first two, in every industry.
- What counts as failing? In the official tables a business that closed has only stopped trading or employing. An owner who retired or took a job looks the same as one who ran out of money.
- When, and where? A figure for one country and one year is often quoted as if it were a law of nature.
Take the best known one. No table on this shelf shows that nine startups in ten fail. The Bureau of Labor Statistics table has 34.7% of establishments opened in the year to March 2015 still open ten years later. And the widely quoted reasons come from counts such as CB Insights' report of March 2026, which read the public accounts of 385 venture backed shutdowns, not from any official record. Business survival rates and Why startups fail have both in full.
What to do about it
A table of closures is not something you can act on. Whether strangers find your product, pay for it and stay is.
- Check whether the product can sell before you market it: will my app make money and product market fit.
- Pick one channel where your buyers already are: distribution channels takes each one from its own official rules.
- Learn the handful of terms that show whether customers arrive, pay and stay: marketing basics.
- See the ways of getting help side by side, with what each costs: compare.
Every page of figures
- How many new businesses survive one year, five years and ten years? The official US and UK figures for one, five and ten years, and what each table does and does not count.
- Why do startups fail, according to the surveys? What a post mortem count, a founder survey and two studies report, where they disagree, and what none of them can show.
- How many apps are on the App Store and Google Play, and how many get rejected? What Apple's transparency report and Google's yearly post count for 2025, what they leave out, and why the two cannot be set side by side.
- How much software is being built in the AI era? What GitHub, a developer survey, one company's own posts and the US Census Bureau count, and why none of it shows who has users.
Questions people ask
How many startups fail?
No official table counts startups as such. For all new businesses, the US table has 51.4% of employer establishments opened in the year to March 2020 still open five years later, and the UK release has 38.4% of registered businesses born in 2019 surviving five years. The two count different things, so they cannot be compared line for line.
Where do these numbers come from?
From the body that published them: a statistical office, a regulator, or a company reporting on itself. Each page lists its sources at the foot with the day each was read, so you can open them and check.
Why do startup statistics disagree with each other?
Because they count different things. One counts every registered business, another only venture backed startups, another only the founders who answered a survey. A share from one says nothing about another.
How often are these pages updated?
Each page carries the date it was checked, and says when its sources publish again. The statistical offices publish once a year, so a figure can be a year old on the day it is read.
Read next
- Which distribution channel should I use for a product I just launched?
- What marketing terms does a founder need to know?
- What are the ways to get your first users, and what does each cost?
- Will my app make money, and when should I stop?
- How do I get customers for my app?
- Is there a tool that works like a marketing expert sat next to me?
AskSami is for a founder whose product is live and has too few customers. Before you sign up, Sami in the chat can search the web, open a few pages of your site and read a screenshot or a table you send, for that one answer. Once you sign up, your honest read and your ranked plan are free.
Sources
- US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Table 7. Survival of private sector establishments by opening year: Total private, data to March 2025. Read on 8 October 2026.
- Office for National Statistics, Business demography, UK: 2024, released 20 November 2025. Read on 8 October 2026.
- Apple, 2025 App Store Transparency Report. Read on 8 October 2026.
- GitHub, Octoverse: A new developer joins GitHub every second as AI leads TypeScript to #1, 28 October 2025, updated 28 February 2026. Read on 8 October 2026.
- CB Insights, The top 9 reasons startups fail, dated 5 March 2026. Read on 8 October 2026.
Checked on 17 October 2026. Every rule, price and figure on this page was read on the page it links to, on the day shown beside it above. They change, so open the source before you rely on one.